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mardi 26 janvier 2016

What To Do When An NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread

By Jason Gibson


Football seasons is a great time of year for watching an exciting sport and reconnecting with old friends. For many people, this is also a time of judicious gambling. If this sounds familiar, you probably want to know what you should do when an NFL expert picks against the spread.

The first and foremost action that you should take is to find out exactly what is going on. Try to determine this person's motives and look for clues as to why such a decision has been made. It may be your first instinct to think that this person has some incredible insider information. In reality, however, information to justify this pick could be right under your nose.

You can learn whether players have potential injuries looming in their futures by reading sports blogs. If any of these professionals have sore shoulders or sore knees, the overall playing strategy could take a serious hit. Injuries that are merely pending are not likely to get reported on in the same way that injuries that have already happened are and thus, you will definitely have to do your due diligence.

There are a number of events that can occur in a professional player's personal life that may negatively impact his game. See if any of these professionals are going to court for legal charges in the near future or getting divorced from their spouses. The teams that win championships do not usually have a lot of outside distractions and can easily maintain their focus.

Take a look at the stats for match-ups from the past that are fairly similar and see if you can spot any factors that have potentially changed. As an example, it may be a team's first time playing a championship game away from home. There could be weather conditions that might impede personal performances. Changes like these might seem small, but they really can have a considerable impact.

Write down a list of the sources that you trust the most in instances such as these. You have to learn more about what others are saying before you can decide how you will act on this new information. Outside sources are only helpful, however, when they are known for providing reliable info.

It is vital to remember that gambling is a lot like stock investing and this is especially true when it comes to analyzing and valuating your sources. Some blog writers and sports broadcasters will simply go with the crowd, even if they do not believe in the information or opinions that are being reported. This is commonly referred to as following the herd. The best info sources are bold, courageous and willing to stand on their own, even if this means breaking away from the proverbial pack.

You also have to keep in mind that even an expert can be wrong from time to time. This is a notion that even a small amount of research will prove true. Some people are spot on their assessments from time to time, but no one is absolutely right all of the time. You simply have to learn to leverage all of the information that is available to you, in order to make informed game predictions and betting decisions of your own.




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